In February, 2020 the predictions of the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR), or “death rate” from Covid-19 were estimated to be 3.4%[1]. We were told that Covid-19 was much more deadly than the seasonal flu and we must “flatten the curve” in order to avoid overwhelming our hospitals[2]. Much of the world was placed on “lockdown” for an indefinite period[3]. 7 months later, according to the World Health Organisation (WHO), some 10% of the world had been infected with 1.07 million of them dying – making the actual IFR 0.14%[4] . Which is significantly lower than estimated, the WHO acknowledges in its own report that “infection fatality rates tended to be much lower than estimates made earlier in the pandemic”[5]. Other studies support this finding with IFRs of between .32% – .01%. By comparison the flu has an IFR of .1% – .2%[6]. The former Director of Israel’s Health Ministry said, “You’re not more at risk of dying of coronavirus than the flu.”[7]

[1]WHO says coronavirus death rate is 3.4% globally” 

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-rate-is-3point4percent-globally-higher-than-previously-thought.htm

[2]“A flatter curve, on the other hand, assumes the same number of people ultimately get infected, but over a longer period of time”

https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-flatten-the-curve.html

[3]“There’s no complete science behind any of it really — but it’s worthwhile to explore different ways of trying to control things,” said infectious disease specialist”

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/13/justin-trudeau-coronavirus-response-canada-measures

[4]“That’s an infection fatality rate of roughly or 0.14%”

https://off-guardian.org/2020/10/08/who-accidentally-confirms-covid-is-no-more-dangerous-than-flu

[5]“The inferred infection fatality rates tended to be much lower than estimates made earlier in the pandemic”

https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf

[6]“coronavirus might not be as deadly as flu”

ttps://www.spectator.co.uk/article/stanford-study-suggests-coronavirus-might-not-be-as-deadly-as-flu

[7]‘You’re not more at risk of dying of coronavirus than the flu”

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/280874

David Heller 9.12.2020 The Emperor's New Clothes